Modena vs FC Südtirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
12%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
MOD
0 - 0
BV5
49%
26%
24%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ANC
1 - 0
MOD
24%
25%
50%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MOD
1 - 2
REG
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
TER
1 - 2
MOD
27%
27%
46%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
MOD
0 - 0
MAC
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC Südtirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
FCS
1 - 1
TER
32%
27%
42%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
REG
1 - 0
FCS
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
FCS
1 - 1
FOR
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
BV5
1 - 1
FCS
64%
22%
15%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
FCS
1 - 2
FER
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |