Modena vs FC Südtirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
MOD
0 - 1
RSO
24%
25%
51%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
MOD
1 - 1
VER
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 0
MOD
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
MOD
2 - 1
GRO
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
VIC
2 - 1
MOD
27%
28%
46%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
FC Südtirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
FCS
1 - 1
CUN
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
USC
1 - 1
FCS
69%
20%
12%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
FCS
1 - 1
TRA
32%
28%
40%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
FCS
1 - 1
CAR
44%
28%
28%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SPE
2 - 1
FCS
59%
24%
16%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |