Modena vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
TRA
2 - 0
MOD
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
MOD
4 - 0
BAR
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CTT
0 - 1
MOD
36%
28%
37%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
MOD
4 - 1
VAR
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
PAL
0 - 0
MOD
75%
17%
9%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
CRO
1 - 0
BRE
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SPE
3 - 1
CRO
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CRO
3 - 0
PES
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
CES
1 - 0
CRO
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2014 |
CRO
0 - 0
SIE
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |