Modena vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
32.9%
Draw
0-0
17.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.9%
27.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
AVE
1 - 1
MOD
62%
24%
14%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
MOD
0 - 1
SPA
40%
30%
30%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
BRI
0 - 1
MOD
52%
28%
20%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
MOD
1 - 0
USF
39%
31%
30%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
CAT
4 - 1
MOD
51%
29%
20%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
TER
1 - 0
FCC
57%
28%
16%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
FCC
2 - 0
PES
56%
26%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
PAL
1 - 0
FCC
48%
31%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
BRE
1 - 0
FCC
48%
31%
21%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
FCC
2 - 1
SSS
62%
25%
14%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |