Modena vs Fano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
8.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SSS
1 - 1
MOD
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
MOD
32%
29%
39%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2016 |
MOD
0 - 3
POR
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 2
MOD
15%
24%
61%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
MOD
0 - 1
ABN
67%
21%
12%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
FAN
0 - 1
VNZ
14%
22%
64%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
POR
2 - 1
FAN
76%
17%
8%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
FAN
0 - 2
ASG
28%
27%
45%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 1
FAN
56%
24%
20%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
ANC
1 - 0
FAN
57%
23%
21%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |