Modena vs Fanfulla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
UDI
1 - 0
MOD
66%
19%
15%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
MOD
1 - 0
SAL
66%
19%
15%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1950 |
ACP
0 - 1
MOD
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1950 |
SPE
0 - 0
MOD
43%
24%
33%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
MOD
2 - 0
LIV
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Fanfulla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
FAN
2 - 2
USA
54%
21%
25%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
PIS
1 - 2
FAN
73%
15%
12%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1950 |
FAN
1 - 2
SPA
43%
23%
34%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1950 |
REG
0 - 1
FAN
79%
13%
9%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
FAN
1 - 2
USC
52%
22%
26%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |