Modena vs Empoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.7%
29%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
36.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
GRO
3 - 1
MOD
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
MOD
0 - 0
LEC
33%
27%
41%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SAL
1 - 2
MOD
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
MOD
1 - 2
ASC
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
PAD
1 - 0
MOD
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
EMP
2 - 0
FRO
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2009 |
ANC
2 - 0
EMP
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
EMP
3 - 1
CRO
70%
20%
10%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2009 |
TOR
3 - 0
EMP
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
EMP
2 - 0
PIA
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |