Modena vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.3%
32.7%
Draw
0-0
16.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32.7%
32.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1977 |
SSS
1 - 0
MOD
49%
30%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
MOD
0 - 1
ATL
42%
32%
26%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
VIC
2 - 1
MOD
70%
21%
10%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
MOD
1 - 0
PES
36%
31%
33%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
LEC
1 - 0
MOD
73%
19%
9%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1977 |
COM
0 - 0
CAG
54%
26%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
AVE
0 - 0
COM
39%
31%
29%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
COM
1 - 1
ASS
59%
25%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
BRE
2 - 2
COM
35%
30%
36%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
COM
2 - 0
CAT
72%
21%
7%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |