Modena vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
31.1%
Draw
0-0
14.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.1%
28.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
BRE
1 - 0
MOD
67%
23%
10%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1972 |
MOD
0 - 1
PAL
40%
32%
28%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1972 |
TER
2 - 1
MOD
60%
26%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1972 |
MOD
1 - 0
USF
37%
31%
32%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1972 |
BAR
3 - 2
MOD
67%
23%
10%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
COM
0 - 0
USF
49%
29%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1972 |
GEN
1 - 1
COM
41%
32%
27%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1972 |
COM
1 - 0
LIV
60%
25%
15%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1972 |
COM
0 - 1
REG
56%
28%
16%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1972 |
COM
0 - 0
NOV
56%
26%
17%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |