Modena vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
29%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
25.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
TAR
2 - 0
MOD
49%
30%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
MOD
1 - 1
PRG
52%
29%
19%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
ATL
1 - 0
MOD
58%
27%
15%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
MOD
2 - 0
ARZ
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
CES
2 - 1
MOD
62%
20%
18%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
COM
3 - 2
FCC
52%
28%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
ASS
1 - 3
COM
57%
27%
16%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
COM
1 - 1
CAS
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1970 |
LIV
2 - 0
COM
47%
31%
23%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
ATL
1 - 1
COM
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +2 |