Modena vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
21.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
LIV
2 - 0
MOD
46%
32%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
MOD
1 - 1
REG
49%
29%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
ASS
2 - 1
MOD
58%
27%
15%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
MOD
1 - 0
TER
46%
27%
28%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
PIA
0 - 0
MOD
61%
24%
16%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
COM
0 - 0
CES
52%
26%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
CAT
1 - 0
COM
49%
29%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
COM
0 - 0
MAN
46%
30%
24%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
PRG
3 - 2
COM
57%
26%
18%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
COM
2 - 3
TAR
63%
24%
13%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |