Modena vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
VNZ
0 - 1
MOD
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1957 |
MOD
1 - 0
CAT
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1957 |
TAR
0 - 0
MOD
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
MES
1 - 0
MOD
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
MOD
1 - 0
CAG
54%
24%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
COM
1 - 0
BRE
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1957 |
VER
1 - 1
COM
56%
23%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1957 |
COM
1 - 2
BRE
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
VNZ
2 - 0
COM
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
COM
3 - 1
ACM
66%
20%
13%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |