Modena vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
18.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
14.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
18.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1977 |
ASC
1 - 0
MOD
59%
26%
15%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
MOD
1 - 0
VAR
38%
30%
32%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
BRE
1 - 0
MOD
59%
25%
16%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
MOD
0 - 0
CAG
37%
31%
32%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1977 |
TER
1 - 0
MOD
54%
27%
18%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1977 |
CAT
0 - 0
ASS
37%
32%
31%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
AVE
1 - 0
CAT
56%
27%
17%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
CAT
1 - 1
ASC
38%
32%
29%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
VAR
3 - 0
CAT
60%
26%
14%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1977 |
TAR
1 - 1
CAT
53%
29%
18%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |