Modena vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
35.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
ACM
4 - 0
MOD
85%
10%
5%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
SAM
1 - 1
MOD
66%
19%
15%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
MOD
2 - 1
VNZ
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
MAN
3 - 0
MOD
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
MOD
0 - 1
BOL
22%
25%
53%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
CAT
0 - 1
SAM
40%
27%
34%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
CAT
1 - 0
NAP
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
GEN
4 - 1
CAT
56%
22%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
VNZ
2 - 1
CAT
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
CAT
0 - 0
PAL
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |