Modena vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1953 |
FAN
2 - 1
MOD
63%
21%
17%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
TRE
2 - 1
MOD
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
MOD
0 - 1
UNI
55%
24%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
MOD
0 - 1
ACM
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
MOD
2 - 1
VER
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
CAT
2 - 1
VIC
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
CAT
1 - 0
TRE
61%
22%
18%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
ACM
2 - 0
CAT
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
CAT
3 - 0
PAD
55%
22%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
CAG
2 - 2
CAT
73%
16%
11%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |