Modena vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
16.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
FCC
0 - 0
MOD
50%
31%
19%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
MOD
0 - 4
TER
45%
29%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1970 |
MAN
3 - 0
MOD
63%
24%
13%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1970 |
REG
1 - 1
MOD
55%
28%
17%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
MOD
0 - 0
CES
55%
27%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
CAS
3 - 1
BRE
29%
29%
42%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
CAS
0 - 1
MAN
33%
30%
36%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1970 |
LIV
1 - 0
CAS
60%
25%
15%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1970 |
TAR
2 - 0
CAS
54%
26%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
CAS
1 - 1
ATL
32%
28%
40%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |