Modena vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
LEC
0 - 0
MOD
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
MOD
2 - 1
SAN
70%
20%
11%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1999 |
MOD
1 - 1
REG
39%
29%
33%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
LIV
1 - 1
MOD
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
MOD
1 - 0
ACL
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
CAR
3 - 1
BRE
39%
26%
36%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
COM
1 - 0
CAR
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
CAR
3 - 1
ACL
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
CTT
2 - 0
CAR
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
MON
2 - 0
CAR
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |