Modena vs Calcio Portogruaro-Summaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
VAR
3 - 0
MOD
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
MOD
1 - 1
GRO
43%
27%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
CTT
1 - 1
MOD
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
MOD
1 - 1
TOR
38%
29%
33%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
VIC
1 - 1
MOD
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Calcio Portogruaro-Summaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
POR
0 - 1
EMP
26%
28%
46%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
ATL
4 - 1
POR
73%
19%
9%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
POR
1 - 2
PES
38%
29%
34%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
SIE
1 - 2
POR
72%
19%
9%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
POR
1 - 2
TRI
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |