Modena vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
ASC
1 - 1
MOD
56%
24%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
MOD
1 - 0
PIA
47%
27%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
MOD
4 - 1
SOR
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
MOD
3 - 2
GAL
60%
23%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
CES
2 - 1
MOD
56%
24%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
CRO
1 - 1
PAD
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
PAD
1 - 1
NOV
48%
27%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
PAD
1 - 0
RAV
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
TRI
0 - 3
PAD
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2010 |
PAD
0 - 0
TRI
43%
26%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |