Modena vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
21.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
COS
2 - 0
MOD
48%
28%
24%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
MOD
1 - 1
MES
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
MOD
1 - 3
USF
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1990 |
LAZ
1 - 3
MOD
80%
13%
7%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
ASC
3 - 0
MOD
67%
21%
13%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
PAD
0 - 0
TAR
47%
28%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
TRI
2 - 0
PAD
54%
27%
19%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
PAD
1 - 2
ANC
43%
28%
29%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
SAL
0 - 0
PAD
52%
27%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
ASS
2 - 0
PAD
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |