Modena vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
25.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1988 |
MOD
1 - 0
LEC
38%
28%
34%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1988 |
USC
2 - 0
MOD
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 1988 |
MOD
1 - 3
GEN
49%
30%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 1988 |
UDI
1 - 0
MOD
67%
21%
12%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1988 |
MOD
2 - 1
TAR
43%
29%
28%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1988 |
PAD
1 - 1
ARZ
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1988 |
PAD
1 - 1
LEC
54%
24%
23%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 1988 |
PAD
3 - 2
BAR
53%
28%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1988 |
TAR
1 - 1
PAD
50%
29%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1988 |
PAD
1 - 0
USC
51%
29%
20%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |