Modena vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
31.4%
Draw
0-0
15.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.4%
24.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1988 |
LAZ
3 - 0
MOD
64%
23%
14%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1988 |
SSS
1 - 0
MOD
50%
28%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1988 |
MOD
1 - 0
USC
37%
32%
31%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 1988 |
BAR
1 - 0
MOD
61%
25%
15%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1988 |
GEN
1 - 1
MOD
61%
24%
15%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1988 |
PAD
2 - 0
SSS
58%
25%
17%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1988 |
BRE
1 - 0
PAD
54%
29%
17%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1988 |
PAD
0 - 2
GEN
56%
26%
18%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1988 |
MES
2 - 1
PAD
52%
28%
20%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1988 |
BAR
1 - 1
PAD
55%
28%
17%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |