Modena vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
NAP
4 - 0
MOD
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 85 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1987 |
MOD
1 - 0
BOL
40%
31%
29%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1987 |
CAM
2 - 1
MOD
53%
28%
19%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1987 |
MOD
0 - 4
SSS
49%
31%
20%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1987 |
CAG
4 - 2
MOD
51%
29%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
FIO
0 - 1
PAD
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1986 |
PAD
1 - 2
INT
12%
22%
66%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
PAD
3 - 0
SAL
57%
21%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
VIC
2 - 1
PAD
60%
21%
19%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
PAD
0 - 0
NAP
30%
25%
45%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |