Modena vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
17.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
LAZ
2 - 1
MOD
64%
23%
13%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
SPA
3 - 1
MOD
67%
22%
12%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
MOD
0 - 0
REG
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1968 |
REG
1 - 0
MOD
58%
26%
16%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
MOD
1 - 0
MAN
49%
28%
23%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
MAN
2 - 0
PAD
52%
29%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
PAD
0 - 0
FCC
52%
28%
20%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
PAD
0 - 0
CAT
48%
28%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 1968 |
LEC
0 - 0
PAD
58%
26%
17%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
PAD
1 - 2
BAR
43%
29%
28%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |