Modena vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
22.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1966 |
VNZ
2 - 3
MOD
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
MOD
1 - 1
LIV
55%
26%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1966 |
REG
0 - 1
MOD
65%
22%
14%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
FCC
0 - 0
MOD
51%
28%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
MOD
4 - 0
PRO
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1966 |
VER
1 - 1
PAD
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
PAD
4 - 1
MES
52%
27%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1966 |
VNZ
3 - 1
PAD
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
PRO
2 - 1
PAD
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
PAD
2 - 0
GEN
41%
28%
32%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |