Modena vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
24.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
ATL
2 - 0
MOD
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
MOD
1 - 1
NOV
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
ASL
1 - 0
MOD
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
MOD
0 - 0
LIV
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1948 |
MOD
3 - 0
ROM
52%
24%
25%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
NOV
2 - 1
PAD
44%
24%
32%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
PAD
2 - 0
BOL
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
PAD
2 - 0
LAZ
44%
23%
33%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
GEN
7 - 1
PAD
71%
16%
14%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1942 |
PAD
3 - 5
ACM
47%
23%
30%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |