Modena vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1930 |
INT
5 - 1
MOD
83%
11%
6%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1930 |
MOD
0 - 1
USA
46%
23%
31%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1930 |
BRE
3 - 2
MOD
62%
19%
19%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1930 |
USC
2 - 2
MOD
53%
22%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1930 |
MOD
1 - 2
BOL
18%
19%
63%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1930 |
PAD
3 - 0
ROM
18%
19%
63%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1930 |
NAP
1 - 0
PAD
86%
9%
5%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1930 |
PAD
2 - 1
JUV
27%
24%
49%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1930 |
TRI
2 - 1
PAD
60%
19%
21%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1930 |
PAD
0 - 1
USC
45%
23%
32%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |