Modena vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1960 |
MOD
0 - 0
TOR
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
MOD
3 - 0
VNZ
48%
27%
26%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
MAN
4 - 1
MOD
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
MOD
1 - 0
TAR
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1960 |
MOD
3 - 0
COM
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1960 |
LEC
3 - 1
REG
57%
22%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1960 |
LEC
2 - 2
FCC
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
PAR
0 - 0
LEC
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
VNZ
1 - 0
LEC
61%
21%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1960 |
LEC
1 - 1
TRI
47%
24%
29%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |