Modena vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
MOD
1 - 0
ASS
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
COM
1 - 1
MOD
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
MOD
0 - 2
ACP
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
NOV
3 - 1
MOD
69%
19%
13%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
MOD
2 - 2
PAR
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
LEC
2 - 0
ACM
60%
23%
18%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
REG
3 - 1
LEC
59%
21%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
LEC
1 - 2
ATL
37%
26%
36%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
COM
1 - 1
LEC
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
LEC
2 - 0
ACP
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |