Modena vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
34.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
PRG
3 - 0
MOD
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1976 |
GEN
3 - 0
MOD
72%
19%
9%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
MOD
2 - 2
VAR
36%
30%
35%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
MOD
1 - 0
PES
48%
29%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
VIC
1 - 0
MOD
69%
21%
10%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
CAG
0 - 1
VIC
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1976 |
CAG
0 - 0
PRG
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
ACM
2 - 3
CAG
76%
17%
8%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
CAG
2 - 1
FIO
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
TOR
5 - 1
CAG
81%
13%
6%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |