Modena vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
MES
1 - 0
MOD
55%
25%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
FCC
2 - 0
MOD
61%
21%
18%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
MOD
1 - 1
ASS
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
VER
1 - 2
MOD
73%
16%
11%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
MOD
1 - 0
NOV
54%
24%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
BRE
1 - 0
CAG
56%
23%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
CAG
0 - 1
CAT
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
CAG
1 - 0
MES
55%
24%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
MAN
2 - 1
CAG
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
TOR
5 - 0
CAG
70%
17%
13%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |