Modena vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
39.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
INT
2 - 0
MOD
77%
16%
8%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
MOD
0 - 1
UDI
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
EMP
1 - 0
MOD
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
MOD
1 - 1
COM
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
BOL
3 - 0
MOD
68%
19%
12%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2003 |
BRE
0 - 0
LAZ
30%
27%
44%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
ACM
0 - 0
BRE
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
BRE
3 - 1
PRG
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
BRE
2 - 0
JUV
25%
27%
49%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
INT
4 - 0
BRE
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |