Modena vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
29%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
24.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
ASS
1 - 0
MOD
64%
24%
13%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
ASC
3 - 0
MOD
65%
24%
11%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
MOD
2 - 1
BAR
52%
29%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
COM
1 - 1
MOD
56%
28%
16%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1977 |
VAR
0 - 0
MOD
59%
26%
15%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
BRE
0 - 0
VAR
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
BAR
3 - 2
BRE
47%
30%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
BRE
0 - 0
TER
56%
26%
18%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
BRE
3 - 1
CES
48%
28%
24%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1977 |
CAG
2 - 4
BRE
70%
20%
10%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |