Modena vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
18.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
15.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
21.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
ATL
1 - 1
MOD
59%
26%
15%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
MOD
0 - 0
REG
45%
30%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
FCC
1 - 1
MOD
64%
24%
12%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
MOD
1 - 0
AVE
44%
29%
27%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1975 |
SPA
1 - 1
MOD
65%
23%
12%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
BRE
1 - 2
NOV
55%
28%
18%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
BRE
1 - 0
ATL
49%
29%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
SSS
1 - 0
BRE
43%
32%
25%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
BRE
2 - 1
PIA
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1975 |
AVE
3 - 0
BRE
53%
27%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |