Modena vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
31.1%
Draw
0-0
14.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.1%
28.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
PAL
4 - 0
MOD
57%
27%
16%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
MOD
1 - 2
TER
50%
28%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
REG
2 - 1
MOD
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
MOD
1 - 0
CES
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1971 |
MOD
2 - 0
VIC
37%
26%
38%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
BRE
0 - 1
TAR
64%
24%
13%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
LAZ
1 - 0
BRE
58%
26%
17%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
INT
1 - 1
BRE
85%
11%
4%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
BRE
0 - 1
VAR
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1971 |
REG
1 - 3
BRE
45%
26%
30%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |