Modena vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1959 |
MOD
1 - 1
TAR
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1959 |
VNZ
1 - 0
MOD
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1959 |
PAL
1 - 1
MOD
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1959 |
MOD
2 - 2
LEC
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
MOD
1 - 0
ASS
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1959 |
BRE
3 - 1
SSS
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1959 |
PAR
2 - 1
BRE
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1959 |
BRE
1 - 1
VNZ
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
BRE
2 - 2
VER
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
PAL
1 - 0
BRE
58%
22%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |