Modena vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1951 |
LIV
0 - 0
MOD
52%
24%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
MOD
0 - 0
VER
57%
22%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
PIS
5 - 0
MOD
50%
23%
27%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
MOD
0 - 2
ROM
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
JUS
1 - 1
MOD
44%
24%
32%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1951 |
JUS
2 - 2
BRE
46%
23%
31%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
BRE
1 - 1
SAL
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
BRE
0 - 0
CAT
58%
21%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
FAN
0 - 1
BRE
59%
20%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
BRE
1 - 0
PIS
67%
18%
15%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |