Modena vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
29.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1931 |
TOR
6 - 0
MOD
73%
15%
12%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1931 |
MOD
1 - 1
PRO
62%
19%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1931 |
ROM
4 - 2
MOD
78%
13%
9%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 1931 |
LAZ
2 - 0
MOD
60%
19%
21%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 1931 |
USA
1 - 1
MOD
53%
21%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1931 |
BRE
0 - 2
INT
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1931 |
FIO
2 - 1
BRE
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1931 |
BRE
1 - 0
USA
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 1931 |
BRE
3 - 2
ROM
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 1931 |
LEO
2 - 0
BRE
51%
20%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |