Modena vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
41.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 1958 |
MOD
1 - 1
REG
65%
19%
16%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
SPA
2 - 1
MOD
70%
18%
13%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
BOL
4 - 3
MOD
83%
11%
6%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1958 |
REG
2 - 0
MOD
46%
24%
30%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 1958 |
MOD
0 - 6
SPA
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 1958 |
SPA
6 - 2
BOL
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
REG
0 - 0
BOL
31%
24%
45%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
BOL
4 - 3
MOD
83%
11%
6%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1958 |
BOL
2 - 1
SPA
74%
15%
11%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1958 |
BOL
3 - 0
REG
85%
10%
5%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | 0 |