Modena vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
39.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1942 |
NAP
2 - 1
MOD
49%
23%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1942 |
FIO
8 - 0
MOD
69%
16%
15%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
MOD
3 - 0
LIV
46%
23%
30%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
INT
1 - 0
MOD
74%
15%
11%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1942 |
JUV
4 - 1
MOD
71%
17%
13%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1942 |
BOL
7 - 1
LIV
72%
16%
12%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1942 |
INT
0 - 1
BOL
54%
23%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
BOL
2 - 2
LAZ
67%
18%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
ACL
2 - 1
BOL
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1942 |
BOL
1 - 0
TOR
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |