Modena vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
32.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1931 |
TRI
1 - 1
MOD
40%
24%
36%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1931 |
MOD
2 - 5
INT
39%
24%
36%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1931 |
MOD
2 - 0
NAP
42%
23%
35%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1931 |
GEN
5 - 3
MOD
71%
17%
13%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1931 |
MOD
3 - 1
PRO
60%
19%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1931 |
BOL
4 - 1
INT
54%
22%
24%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1931 |
BOL
1 - 1
GEN
61%
20%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1931 |
ROM
2 - 1
BOL
61%
20%
19%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1931 |
BOL
2 - 2
ACM
69%
18%
14%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1931 |
TOR
1 - 1
BOL
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |