Modena vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
36.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
MOD
0 - 0
BRE
34%
27%
40%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
INT
2 - 0
MOD
77%
16%
8%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
MOD
0 - 1
UDI
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
EMP
1 - 0
MOD
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
MOD
1 - 1
COM
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
ATL
2 - 1
ROM
28%
27%
45%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
COM
1 - 1
ATL
30%
28%
42%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2003 |
TOR
1 - 1
ATL
44%
27%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
ATL
2 - 2
EMP
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
INT
1 - 0
ATL
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |