Modena vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.7%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
14.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
24%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1976 |
REG
0 - 0
MOD
58%
25%
18%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1976 |
MOD
1 - 0
FCC
40%
33%
28%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
AVE
1 - 1
MOD
62%
24%
14%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
MOD
0 - 1
SPA
40%
30%
30%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
BRI
0 - 1
MOD
52%
28%
20%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1976 |
ATL
1 - 1
BRE
46%
31%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1976 |
USF
1 - 0
ATL
59%
26%
15%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
ATL
2 - 0
PES
49%
29%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
NOV
2 - 0
ATL
53%
28%
19%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
ATL
0 - 1
GEN
45%
31%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |