Modena vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
31.5%
Draw
0-0
14.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.5%
30.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
ARZ
1 - 1
MOD
48%
30%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
MOD
1 - 0
MAS
74%
19%
8%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
ASS
0 - 2
MOD
58%
27%
15%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
MOD
1 - 0
BAR
39%
31%
30%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
MOD
1 - 0
BRE
37%
32%
31%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
ATL
3 - 0
TER
54%
27%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
PRG
0 - 0
ATL
38%
32%
31%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
ATL
0 - 0
ARZ
64%
25%
12%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
NOV
2 - 0
ATL
35%
32%
33%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
ATL
1 - 0
TAR
64%
24%
12%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |