Modena vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1948 |
LIV
1 - 1
MOD
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
MOD
2 - 0
LAZ
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
FIO
4 - 2
MOD
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1948 |
MOD
2 - 0
INT
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1948 |
ROM
0 - 0
MOD
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1948 |
ATL
0 - 0
JUV
31%
25%
44%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
ATL
1 - 0
BOL
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
INT
0 - 3
ATL
74%
16%
11%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1948 |
BAR
3 - 0
ATL
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1948 |
TRI
1 - 1
ATL
42%
27%
32%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |