Modena vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
22.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
CES
1 - 0
MOD
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
MOD
3 - 2
CRO
44%
29%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2007 |
PIA
5 - 1
MOD
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
LEC
1 - 0
MOD
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2007 |
MOD
1 - 1
BOL
32%
30%
38%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
SPE
1 - 2
GEN
29%
28%
44%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2007 |
VIC
1 - 0
SPE
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
SPE
1 - 2
BAR
46%
29%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
SPE
3 - 1
ARZ
36%
29%
35%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2007 |
MAN
0 - 0
SPE
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |