Modena vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
31%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
31%
34.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
VAR
2 - 2
MOD
67%
23%
10%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
MOD
0 - 0
BRE
46%
30%
24%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
CAG
2 - 0
MOD
77%
18%
6%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
MOD
1 - 1
TER
46%
29%
25%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
TAR
1 - 0
MOD
52%
29%
18%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
ASC
2 - 0
ASS
59%
26%
15%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
ASC
4 - 2
CAT
61%
27%
12%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
AVE
2 - 0
ASC
45%
29%
26%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
VAR
3 - 1
ASC
49%
29%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
ASC
2 - 1
BRE
60%
27%
13%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |