Modena vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
18%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
MOD
1 - 2
VIC
50%
28%
23%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
BOL
0 - 0
MOD
49%
27%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
MOD
0 - 0
CAT
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
MOD
1 - 0
FRO
44%
28%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
BRE
0 - 1
MOD
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 4
FRO
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 0
VAR
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 3
BOL
34%
28%
37%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
CTT
3 - 0
VAR
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 2
BRE
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |