Modena vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CTT
0 - 1
MOD
36%
28%
37%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
MOD
4 - 1
VAR
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
PAL
0 - 0
MOD
75%
17%
9%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
CES
1 - 1
MOD
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
MOD
0 - 1
PES
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 1
SIE
25%
27%
48%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
BRE
2 - 1
BAR
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 1
REG
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 1
BAR
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 2
SPE
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |