Modena vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.7%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
28.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
GEN
0 - 0
MOD
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
VNZ
1 - 0
MOD
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
MOD
1 - 2
PAD
46%
30%
25%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
MOD
1 - 1
LEC
51%
28%
21%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
REG
2 - 0
MOD
54%
27%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
BAR
2 - 0
PAD
57%
26%
18%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
BAR
4 - 1
PRG
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
VER
1 - 1
BAR
46%
29%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1968 |
ACM
4 - 1
BAR
82%
12%
6%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
BAR
3 - 1
LAZ
51%
28%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |